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8:20am Tuesday 14th February 2012 in Community stadium news
By Mark Stead, Political Reporter
PLANNING experts brought in by opponents of a retail development on the edge of York claim the scheme will cause “irreversible” damage to the city centre.
Consultants GVA have formally objected, on behalf of York Chamber of Trade, to City of York Council over proposals for John Lewis and Marks & Spencer stores at Monks Cross, saying they would be a “disaster” and could threaten other developments.
The firm claimed the application is out of step with planning policy and will pressurise York’s transport network, also saying Oakgate (Monks Cross) Ltd had not shown the amount of retail space it has applied for is necessary to fund a community stadium which would be part of the scheme.
Oakgate’s managing director Richard France said GVA’s claims were not backed up by “hard figures” and York was being “talked down”, highlighting US fashion chain Urban Outfitters’ impending city-centre arrival as an example of its continued attractiveness to retailers.
In the objection letter, GVA’s senior director Chris Goddard and associate Alistair Andrew said: “The proposal is a serious and obvious threat to the short and long-term future of the city centre – it threatens its vitality and viability and will have profound and irreversible consequences. There is no evidence which supports such a large-scale out-of-centre proposal. The applicant has not adequately demonstrated the amount of floorspace proposed is required to cross-fund the stadium, and it would result in at least eight years of retail capacity being accommodated in this development.
“This amount of development would harm the delivery of existing and emerging development plan objectives and policies. Both this and the crippling impact on the trade and turnover of the city centre will result in an inevitable restriction on investment.”
Oakgate said the scheme will inject £12 million annually into the York economy and create 1,000 new jobs and 275 local construction roles, with its studies showing there would be no “lasting impact” on the city centre as it traded strongly and had a low empty-shops rate and “significant demand for retail space”.
“We are surprised such highly-regarded experts as GVA, working on behalf of objectors, still haven’t substantiated their claims with hard figures, and their assumptions are not informed by any robust numerical analysis,” said Mr France.
“It is disappointing that York is once again being talked down. We should be welcoming inward investors and showing York is very much open for business.”
Comments(35)
Jazzper
says...
9:17am Tue 14 Feb 12
johnabostock
says...
9:20am Tue 14 Feb 12
Sarah York
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9:27am Tue 14 Feb 12
roskoboskovic
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9:53am Tue 14 Feb 12
The Great Buda
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10:35am Tue 14 Feb 12
Von_Dutch
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10:38am Tue 14 Feb 12
johnabostock
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10:44am Tue 14 Feb 12
Septimius Severus
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11:46am Tue 14 Feb 12
PKH
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12:19pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Septimius Severus wrote:As a resident of York I vary rarely go into the City centre to shop as it is too much hassle, and even do my banking on the outskirts, and I suspect the majority of people in Greater York do likewise. York has a very strong tourist trade and that is why the centre thrives so well. therefore 2 extra shops will not have a great effect the City centre as it will not draw the tourists away. Using models of other towns without a strong tourist industry is like comparing chalk with cheese. Before you ask I have NEVER EVER been to see York City play so cannot be accused of being a fan.
It's a shame Mr France hasn't appeared to read this new objection / report. There are plenty of figures for him to pour over.
So I'll show you some of them...
Need Capacity
"The growth rates employed are significantly higher than current forecasts and this assessment can no longer be regarded as being up-to-date.
Even adopting the 2008 forecasts, the capacity arising by 2017 (31,361 sq.m net), would be exceeded by the application proposals (22,668 sq.m net) and the existing permitted additional floorspace at Monks Cross (16,281 sq.m net) i.e. comprising a total of 38,949 sq.m net of additional open A1 floorspace at Monks Cross."
Impact – Methodological Flaws and Omissions
"The Applicant has also failed to adequately consider impact
This review concludes that the Applicant’s retail assessment is seriously flawed in several respects, and as such does not provide a credible basis upon which to assess the relevant impacts under EC16. In particular: -
The expenditure growth rates employed up to the design year of 2016 (which have the effect of offsetting forecast impact) are unrealistic. The Applicant employs growth rates of 1.3% for 2009 – 2010 and 3.7% for 2010 – 2016. The latest Experian guidance published in November 2011 indicates growth rates of 0.1% for 2009 – 2010 and 2.5% for 2010 – 2016. Given the economic challenges and low spending growth expected over the next few years, the Applicant’s growth rates over this timescale are inappropriate."
Impact on York City Centre
"The Applicant’s claim that the proposals will take a significant proportion of trade from Leeds (£12.7m), Hull (£14.86m) and Harrogate (£5.12m) does not bear scrutiny. As identified by the Applicant, there are major committed and planned developments in these and other competing centres which will reinforce their performance at the expense of York City Centre.
We acknowledge that a major retail development at Monks Cross may serve to recapture a proportion of the trade which will otherwise be lost to improved facilities in these centres. However, this completely ignores the cumulative impact of the proposals on the City Centre."
"This supports our view that at least 50% of the proposal’s turnover is likely to be diverted from the City Centre. On this basis, we consider circa £80m of trade will be lost directly from the City Centre to the Oakgate proposals, ignoring the additional effects of competing developments in neighbouring city centres (e.g. Leeds, Hull, Doncaster and Darlington) and at Monks Cross itself. On this basis we consider a more realistic assessment of cumulative impact, taking into account these other developments, is likely to be in the range of 15-20% (at least £95m) of total sales of the City Centre at the design year of 2016."
NB
I still don't see where his £12m 'benefit' comes from in his application.
And the Press keep repeating his '1000 new jobs' misdirection.
MarkyMarkMark
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12:33pm Tue 14 Feb 12
yorkonafork
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12:41pm Tue 14 Feb 12
MarkyMarkMark wrote:All good suggestions that have been put on here before. I would like to see rent go down, cheaper buses etc to make the centre an all round cheaper place for everyone.
I notice there are some empty shops in the city centre when I walked around yesterday. This is before there's any additional competition. As someone has already pointed out, the problem clearly isn't (just) the new shopping centre - its not even there yet. In order to compete with the internet, retailers have to be able to meeet their prices and offer that little bit extra - I think its called custoemr service. How about York offers a reduced business rate, free parking, and goes some way to leveling the playing field for the smaller retailers who want to trade in the city? Then they could spend some of the profit that they will hopefully make on training their staff to make it such a delight people will want to come to buy in town, rather than through any other way?
jimmy120883
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1:01pm Tue 14 Feb 12
jgycfc
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1:53pm Tue 14 Feb 12
johnabostock
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4:03pm Tue 14 Feb 12
johnabostock
says...
4:05pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Even AndyD
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5:31pm Tue 14 Feb 12
bloodaxe
says...
5:36pm Tue 14 Feb 12
johnabostock wrote:Whereas tourists merely spend money which they don't have to, keeping 25,000 people in jobs.
Also, for a change: let`s have something done for York RESIDENTS and not tourists, since we put a lot of our money into the City of York through Council Tax.
Even AndyD
says...
5:48pm Tue 14 Feb 12
bloodaxe wrote:In fairness, I think the nub is the two are not mutually exclusive, no matter what some might like you to believe.
johnabostock wrote:Whereas tourists merely spend money which they don't have to, keeping 25,000 people in jobs.
Also, for a change: let`s have something done for York RESIDENTS and not tourists, since we put a lot of our money into the City of York through Council Tax.
Even AndyD
says...
5:53pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Septimius Severus wrote:You've posted a lot of claims and suppositions by someone who is against the proposal. Are we supposed to be impressed?
It's a shame Mr France hasn't appeared to read this new objection / report. There are plenty of figures for him to pour over.
So I'll show you some of them...
Need Capacity
"The growth rates employed are significantly higher than current forecasts and this assessment can no longer be regarded as being up-to-date.
Even adopting the 2008 forecasts, the capacity arising by 2017 (31,361 sq.m net), would be exceeded by the application proposals (22,668 sq.m net) and the existing permitted additional floorspace at Monks Cross (16,281 sq.m net) i.e. comprising a total of 38,949 sq.m net of additional open A1 floorspace at Monks Cross."
Impact – Methodological Flaws and Omissions
"The Applicant has also failed to adequately consider impact
This review concludes that the Applicant’s retail assessment is seriously flawed in several respects, and as such does not provide a credible basis upon which to assess the relevant impacts under EC16. In particular: -
The expenditure growth rates employed up to the design year of 2016 (which have the effect of offsetting forecast impact) are unrealistic. The Applicant employs growth rates of 1.3% for 2009 – 2010 and 3.7% for 2010 – 2016. The latest Experian guidance published in November 2011 indicates growth rates of 0.1% for 2009 – 2010 and 2.5% for 2010 – 2016. Given the economic challenges and low spending growth expected over the next few years, the Applicant’s growth rates over this timescale are inappropriate."
Impact on York City Centre
"The Applicant’s claim that the proposals will take a significant proportion of trade from Leeds (£12.7m), Hull (£14.86m) and Harrogate (£5.12m) does not bear scrutiny. As identified by the Applicant, there are major committed and planned developments in these and other competing centres which will reinforce their performance at the expense of York City Centre.
We acknowledge that a major retail development at Monks Cross may serve to recapture a proportion of the trade which will otherwise be lost to improved facilities in these centres. However, this completely ignores the cumulative impact of the proposals on the City Centre."
"This supports our view that at least 50% of the proposal’s turnover is likely to be diverted from the City Centre. On this basis, we consider circa £80m of trade will be lost directly from the City Centre to the Oakgate proposals, ignoring the additional effects of competing developments in neighbouring city centres (e.g. Leeds, Hull, Doncaster and Darlington) and at Monks Cross itself. On this basis we consider a more realistic assessment of cumulative impact, taking into account these other developments, is likely to be in the range of 15-20% (at least £95m) of total sales of the City Centre at the design year of 2016."
NB
I still don't see where his £12m 'benefit' comes from in his application.
And the Press keep repeating his '1000 new jobs' misdirection.
johnabostock
says...
6:44pm Tue 14 Feb 12
bloodaxe wrote:What is wrong with both sides, residents and tourists, working in tandem or do we residents just hand over our Council Tax and expect nothing back. Tourists may bring in money to the City but residents pay for services AND also the upkeep of the City.
johnabostock wrote:Whereas tourists merely spend money which they don't have to, keeping 25,000 people in jobs.
Also, for a change: let`s have something done for York RESIDENTS and not tourists, since we put a lot of our money into the City of York through Council Tax.
bloodaxe
says...
7:04pm Tue 14 Feb 12
speaks99
says...
7:45pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Septimius Severus
says...
8:56pm Tue 14 Feb 12
speaks99
says...
9:27pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Septimius Severus wrote:1/10 for that response. The "Campaign for York" (lol) started in November. Its now February. That isn't quite the same as "only just started" what with its poster and leafleting campaign, plus its tear off slip to allow you to post your objection without actually having to write anything but your name and address.
Even, Speaks, etc...
The article on which I commented on is about a letter of objection. The Press printed none of 'the numbers' and Mr France commented that the report contained no numbers.
It is therefore reasonable to redress this.
Read the letter in full and see the basis for the objections.
NB The Oakgate impact assessment is not 'statistical evidence' if the analysis is flawed and omits required detail.
Yet at the same time the MD of Oakgate is allowed to repeat unfounded assertions regarding benefits.
If objections are roughly 2/3 of support numbers then it is not a minority.
And the Campaign For York has only just started whereas the Campaign Against York has had months longer to make its comments. The trend is with us.
Even AndyD
says...
9:33pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Septimius Severus wrote:Oh dear.
Even, Speaks, etc...
The article on which I commented on is about a letter of objection. The Press printed none of 'the numbers' and Mr France commented that the report contained no numbers.
It is therefore reasonable to redress this.
Read the letter in full and see the basis for the objections.
NB The Oakgate impact assessment is not 'statistical evidence' if the analysis is flawed and omits required detail.
Yet at the same time the MD of Oakgate is allowed to repeat unfounded assertions regarding benefits.
If objections are roughly 2/3 of support numbers then it is not a minority.
And the Campaign For York has only just started whereas the Campaign Against York has had months longer to make its comments. The trend is with us.
Sarah York
says...
11:37pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Sarah York
says...
11:44pm Tue 14 Feb 12
Even AndyD
says...
7:30pm Wed 15 Feb 12
Sarah York wrote:It was 20,000 leaflets wasn't it, plus a load of posters?
On a more serious note, one side try and get a proper campaign up and running, have 1,000s of leaflets paid and printed for them and even pay to have a report to favour them, all which results in about 20 shops display a cringey poster and a 100 people filling out a questionarre while the other side sits there doing literally nothing yet is the clear majority opinion wondering what the other side are going to make up next.
That, I do believe, is what the kids refer to as an 'epic fail'.
I enjoy toying with them though,it passes a few minutes here and there
speaks99
says...
8:07pm Wed 15 Feb 12
Even AndyD wrote:Don't forget the easy option of not having to do anything to complain, just fill your name and address on an easy to tear off form that has been distributed.
Sarah York wrote:It was 20,000 leaflets wasn't it, plus a load of posters?
On a more serious note, one side try and get a proper campaign up and running, have 1,000s of leaflets paid and printed for them and even pay to have a report to favour them, all which results in about 20 shops display a cringey poster and a 100 people filling out a questionarre while the other side sits there doing literally nothing yet is the clear majority opinion wondering what the other side are going to make up next.
That, I do believe, is what the kids refer to as an 'epic fail'.
I enjoy toying with them though,it passes a few minutes here and there
Magicman!
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11:36pm Wed 15 Feb 12
Even AndyD
says...
9:04am Thu 16 Feb 12
lezyork1966
says...
8:35pm Sat 18 Feb 12
Septimius Severus
says...
2:03pm Wed 22 Feb 12
Eric Bartholomew
says...
5:52pm Wed 22 Feb 12
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johnabostock says...
9:05am Tue 14 Feb 12